Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.019440 0.021022 0.022671 0.024518 0.026533 0.028663 0.031089
2025-09-07 0.016623 0.018879 0.021359 0.024292 0.027674 0.031457 0.036020
2025-09-14 0.014817 0.017447 0.020455 0.024160 0.028613 0.033813 0.040369
2025-09-21 0.013395 0.016237 0.019592 0.023860 0.029170 0.035591 0.043989
2025-09-28 0.012457 0.015482 0.019150 0.023953 0.030109 0.037784 0.048153
2025-10-05 0.011602 0.014738 0.018634 0.023863 0.030746 0.039566 0.051831
2025-10-12 0.010953 0.014193 0.018307 0.023956 0.031577 0.041592 0.055899
2025-10-19 0.010382 0.013700 0.017999 0.024028 0.032347 0.043538 0.059932
2025-10-26 0.009817 0.013173 0.017603 0.023936 0.032859 0.045128 0.063527
2025-11-02 0.009348 0.012741 0.017299 0.023937 0.033477 0.046867 0.067404
2025-11-09 0.008804 0.012174 0.016772 0.023583 0.033550 0.047812 0.070144
2025-11-16 0.008280 0.011603 0.016206 0.023132 0.033442 0.048465 0.072455
2025-11-23 0.007836 0.011139 0.015785 0.022896 0.033678 0.049696 0.075823
2025-11-30 0.007440 0.010724 0.015417 0.022719 0.033994 0.051070 0.079515
2025-12-07 0.007094 0.010363 0.015104 0.022601 0.034382 0.052561 0.083473
2025-12-14 0.006732 0.009959 0.014705 0.022323 0.034495 0.053611 0.086759
2025-12-21 0.006493 0.009726 0.014549 0.022410 0.035179 0.055596 0.091708
2025-12-28 0.006229 0.009442 0.014297 0.022326 0.035576 0.057123 0.095962
2026-01-04 0.006024 0.009238 0.014160 0.022413 0.036250 0.059135 0.101169
2026-01-11 0.005828 0.009038 0.014016 0.022480 0.036886 0.061107 0.106423
2026-01-18 0.005611 0.008795 0.013790 0.022395 0.037254 0.062629 0.110948
2026-01-25 0.005426 0.008594 0.013622 0.022396 0.037764 0.064420 0.116070
2026-02-01 0.005185 0.008289 0.013271 0.022066 0.037674 0.065134 0.119208